Trump – No Deal

Sterling fell to a 2-week low today as a resurgent dollar and comments by U.S. President Donald Trump that a possible trade deal was probably dead, this lead to no […]

Government To Publish Brexit White Paper

Today’s attention is likely to centre on the UK government’s publication of its Brexit White Paper following last week’s Chequers meeting. The White Paper is expected to formalise the plan […]

Focus on Mark Carney’s Speech

In Europe, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said UK PM May’s new Brexit proposal, after Friday’s Cabinet agreement meeting at Chequers, was a “solid step forward”. Today though, the market maybe […]

David Davies Resigns

UK Brexit Secretary David Davis and two other government ministers resigned overnight, just two days after the ‘soft’ Brexit agreement at Chequers. In Mr Davis’s resignation letter, he argues that […]

70% chance of UK rate hike in August

In the UK, all eyes will be on Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s speech at 11:00 am in Newcastle. Following the recent run of upbeat UK economic data releases […]

UK Data Continues To Be Positive

The pound edged up this morning ahead of a survey on Britain’s dominant services sector which traders said could lift the currency after decent numbers from the manufacturing and construction […]

UK Construction also beats forecasts

After yesterday’s UK June manufacturing PMI which was surprisingly on the upside (relative to market expectations), we expected a similar positive surprise in the construction report today, with a forecast […]

UK Manufacturing beats expectations

In Europe, political risks are one of the themes this week. Germany’s CSU leader and interior minister, Horst Seehofer, offered to resign after the migration deal at the EU summit […]

UK GDP Revised Up

As we head into day 2 of the EU summit a review of Brexit negotiations is expected to take place amid limited progress on the Irish border issue in recent […]